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The Five Stages of Collapse: Survivors' Toolkit, by Dmitry Orlov
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Review
Review, Charlie Smith, Straight.com July 1, 2013Five Stages of Collapse is a highly entertaining and enlightening examination of the entrails of what happens when societies are driven into the abyss by greedy, hard-hearted elites and corrupt and incompetent politicians. And if Orlov turns out to be correct, this book just might end up saving your life by revealing steps you can take to prepare for the worst. Review, Carolyn Baker, Speaking Truth to Power April 7,2013 I am a huge fan of Dmitry's work, and I must concur with Richard Heinberg who says, "Even if I believed collapse were impossible I'd still read everything Dmitry Orlov writes: he's that entertaining." Incisive articulation of reality tempered with irrepressible humor and sarcasm define his writing style and not only compel us to stay with what some describe as a "dark Russian perspective," but reveal a man who has found a way to live with what is so and navigate it with buoyant humanity. The Five Stages of Collapse is nothing less than a definitive textbook for a hypothetical course entitled "The Collapse Of Industrial Civilization 101" or perhaps a bible of sorts for an imaginary "Institute of Collapse Studies." While to my knowledge no such courses or organizations presently exist, this book would be an essential aspect of any such entity's credibility. Review, Michael C. Ruppert, April 18, 2013 The writing of this book was a rotten job, but it was absolutely necessary. If someone had to do it, I am very glad that it was Dmitry Orlov. Without his wit, alacrity and experience, the task of beating the horse of the Cartesian approach to understanding our dying world to death would have resulted in something unbearably maddening, dry and uninspiring. In this book he sneaks some LOLROF side-splitters in when you least expect them. One gathers from Orlov's painstaking efforts, the futility of looking to outdated constructs and philosophies for understanding and relief from a crisis that demands complete innovation and inspiration. Reading closely, one sees Orlov carefully planting seeds of reconciliation with our planet and each other throughout--as a fundamental baseline. He arrives at places outside the box of the current meme by using methodologies and analyses that are sacramental within the meme. That's an achievement. Perhaps in his next book he will stand on that ground more forcefully and tell us what he sees. We don't need to understand collapse right now as much as we need to survive it. And that is where Dmitry Orlov rises through the rubble and gives us magnificent gems like this: "At the rock bottom of human survival, there is no individual and there is no state; there is only the family, or, if there isn't, there is something that's not quite human--or there is nothing at all." Profound insight combined with wry humor is such an incendiary weapon I am tempted to call The Five Stages of Collapse an "Orlov Cocktail." His delivery of hard truths laced with irony saturates us in seldom reported but extremely relevant facts about the world. He is one of the best writers on the scene today, working at the top of his game. There is more to enjoy in this book with every page you turn, and in very uncertain times, Orlov's advice is, at its core, kind-spirited and extraordinarily helpful.---Albert Bates, author, The Biochar Solution Even if I believed collapse were impossible I'd still read everything Dmitry Orlov writes: he's that entertaining. Unfortunately, however, collapse of some sort or other, of some degree or another, is almost guaranteed. Orlov does us all a great service by teasing apart the kinds and degrees of collapse so that we can prepare for what is likely and "dig in our heels" to prevent what is unsurvivable.---Richard Heinberg, Senior Fellow, Post Carbon Institute, Author, The End of GrowthReview, Charlie Smith, Straight.com July 1, 2013Five Stages of Collapse is a highly entertaining and enlightening examination of the entrails of what happens when societies are driven into the abyss by greedy, hard-hearted elites and corrupt and incompetent politicians.And if Orlov turns out to be correct, this book just might end up saving your life by revealing steps you can take to prepare for the worst. Review, Carolyn Baker, Speaking Truth to Power April 7,2013 I am a huge fan of Dmitry's work, and I must concur with Richard Heinberg who says, "Even if I believed collapse were impossible I'd still read everything Dmitry Orlov writes: he's that entertaining." Incisive articulation of reality tempered with irrepressible humor and sarcasm define his writing style and not only compel us to stay with what some describe as a "dark Russian perspective," but reveal a man who has found a way to live with what is so and navigate it with buoyant humanity. The Five Stages of Collapse is nothing less than a definitive textbook for a hypothetical course entitled "The Collapse Of Industrial Civilization 101" or perhaps a bible of sorts for an imaginary "Institute of Collapse Studies." While to my knowledge no such courses or organizations presently exist, this book would be an essential aspect of any such entity's credibility. Review, Michael C. Ruppert, April 18, 2013 The writing of this book was a rotten job, but it was absolutely necessary. If someone had to do it, I am very glad that it was Dmitry Orlov. Without his wit, alacrity and experience, the task of beating the horse of the Cartesian approach to understanding our dying world to death would have resulted in something unbearably maddening, dry and uninspiring. In this book he sneaks some LOLROF side-splitters in when you least expect them. One gathers from Orlov's painstaking efforts, the futility of looking to outdated constructs and philosophies for understanding and relief from a crisis that demands complete innovation and inspiration. Reading closely, one sees Orlov carefully planting seeds of reconciliation with our planet and each other throughout--as a fundamental baseline. He arrives at places outside the box of the current meme by using methodologies and analyses that are sacramental within the meme. That's an achievement. Perhaps in his next book he will stand on that ground more forcefully and tell us what he sees. We don't need to understand collapse right now as much as we need to survive it. And that is where Dmitry Orlov rises through the rubble and gives us magnificent gems like this: "At the rock bottom of human survival, there is no individual and there is no state; there is only the family, or, if there isn't, there is something that's not quite human--or there is nothing at all." Profound insight combined with wry humor is such an incendiary weapon I am tempted to call The Five Stages of Collapse an "Orlov Cocktail." His delivery of hard truths laced with irony saturates us in seldom reported but extremely relevant facts about the world. He is one of the best writers on the scene today, working at the top of his game. There is more to enjoy in this book with every page you turn, and in very uncertain times, Orlov's advice is, at its core, kind-spirited and extraordinarily helpful.---Albert Bates, author, The Biochar Solution Even if I believed collapse were impossible I'd still read everything Dmitry Orlov writes: he's that entertaining. Unfortunately, however, collapse of some sort or other, of some degree or another, is almost guaranteed. Orlov does us all a great service by teasing apart the kinds and degrees of collapse so that we can prepare for what is likely and "dig in our heels" to prevent what is unsurvivable.---Richard Heinberg, Senior Fellow, Post Carbon Institute, Author, The End of Growth
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Review
"Profound insight combined with wry humor is such an incendiary weapon I am tempted to call The Five Stages of Collapse an "Orlov Cocktail." His delivery of hard truths laced with irony saturates us in seldom reported but extremely relevant facts about the world. He is one of the best writers on the scene today, working at the top of his game. There is more to enjoy in this book with every page you turn, and in very uncertain times, Orlov’s advice is, at its core, kind-spirited and extraordinarily helpful." ― Albert Bates, author, The Biochar Solution "Even if I believed collapse were impossible I’d still read everything Dmitry Orlov writes: he’s that entertaining. Unfortunately, however, collapse of some sort or other, of some degree or another, is almost guaranteed. Orlov does us all a great service by teasing apart the kinds and degrees of collapse so that we can prepare for what is likely and "dig in our heels" to prevent what is unsurvivable." ― Richard Heinberg, Senior Fellow, Post Carbon Institute, author, The End of Growth "At a time when most talk about the prospect of collapse tends to wander off into vague generalities, Orlov’s latest book offers a welcome dose of clear thinking. Compulsively readable, firmly grounded in real-world examples, and laced with his usual mordant wit, The Five Stages of Collapse deserves space on the bookshelf of anyone concerned about the future of industrial civilization." ― John Michael Greer, author, Green Wizardry
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Product details
Paperback: 288 pages
Publisher: New Society Publishers - New Society Publishers (June 1, 2013)
Language: English
ISBN-10: 0865717362
ISBN-13: 978-0865717367
Product Dimensions:
6 x 0.5 x 9 inches
Shipping Weight: 1 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
Average Customer Review:
3.9 out of 5 stars
78 customer reviews
Amazon Best Sellers Rank:
#352,969 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
I like the basic structure of Five stages of collapse. It could have been a good book. The problem is the socialist rhetoric was too much to take. I agree with many of his point except his view that market economy and money are the source of all evil. The efficiencies created by the use of money over a pure barter system are self evident and this books arguments against this is painfully absurd.
Dmitry Orlov has made a career of commentating about the Soviet Union’s 1991 collapse and the likelihood of the US following that same path. He developed a taxonomy for societal collapse that he calls, “The Five Stages of Collapse,†and he has written and lectured about it for some twenty years. This book, The Five Stages of Collapse: Survivors’ Toolkit,†is his definitive expression of that idea.Mr. Orlov’s Five Stages are especially germane to the status of collapse in our present global industrial civilization. While they likely have applicability to the general collapse of historical empires and civilizations, the current paradigm of an economy that requires limitless growth and does not recognize a finite world is given to being understood by the Five Stages. As Mr. Orlov says:"The difference is that this collapse will be on a completely unprecedented scale, and global in scope."Larger discussions of historical collapse (also a very relevant study) can be found in Joseph Tainter’s The Collapse of Complex Societies and Jared Diamond’s Collapse.The five numbered chapters in this book are expositions on the five collapse stages. These are: Financial, Commercial, Political, Social, and Cultural. Mr. Orlov begins by expressing each as a breach of a particular trust or faith that exists (and taken for granted) between society’s organizing structures and the common people. He then goes into essays on aspects of the organizing structure for that category, its origin and evolution, what collapse for it will look like, and how people might cope with its loss. He concludes each collapse stage chapter with a case study that illustrates his points.I’ve read much of Mr. Orlov’s work in this area over the years and I found this book enlightening in the greater depth of discussion for each collapse stage. I especially liked the parts about the history and use of money, the importance of the family unit to cultures that endure, and the discussion of anarchy. I thought the case studies were well-selected and illuminated understanding of the associated collapse stage. These included how Iceland recovered from the 2008 financial downfall, how the Pashtuns have resisted empire, and how the African Ik tribe illustrates how collapse can lead to a frightening loss of humanity.The Ik case study is especially disturbing and is taken from Colin Turnbull’s book, The Mountain People, which is probably a worthwhile, though dark, read.What I like about this book is its exposition on a subject that needs much greater awareness among the world’s population. Mr. Orlov goes further in-depth here than in his other writings and presentations of the subject. He isn’t necessarily concise, however, and some of his supporting essays cross the line into rambling (or at least, more detail than is required and that’s why I withheld a fifth star in my rating). The part on language in the Political Collapse chapter is one such section. Mr. Orlov is a linguistics scholar, but he gave more information than needed here, in my opinion.While I generally enjoy Mr. Orlov’s prose and how he offers compelling explanations of involved concepts with a touch of humor, sometimes he’ll make blanket statements for shock value. For instance, he says:"Charity is really a sort of imposed hypocrisy— a system of domination in which those who have the upper hand pretend to offer help in the most humiliating way possible."I suspect there’s truth to this, but I would have to allow that charity surely exists, here and there, in a more honest form.He also gets a bit more into criticism of religious belief and extolling atheism. Now he avers that religious/spiritual faith can be good glue for holding communities together and even resisting empire, but he is clear in saying its a useful delusion. He is certainly entitled to that opinion but some readers might be put off by it. Still, I consider this a minor criticism to an overall valuable work.Generally, Mr. Orlov’s insights are keen and well-founded. I can agree that usury is a form of extortion and that modern finance is mostly mathematical obfuscation. And he notes two or three time, rightly I think, that"… the free market is completely reliant on a system of property law, a legal system that is able to enforce contracts and a law enforcement system that can deter economic crime."While this book is an important one, be aware that the “survivor’s toolkit†part is not explicit. That is, you can deduce a toolkit from the information presented but it is not listed in an appendix or such. You won’t get a checklist here of things to do to prepare for collapse. You will, however, gather some valuable clues as to how the world truly operates and where it’s headed.
"The Five Stages of Collapse" is a page-turner. Orlov, a former computer programmer who is now an author, blogger, and public speaker, describes how modern society and its reliance on oil, gas, and coal, has apparently no way to respond to rapid declines in oil production over the next twenty (20) years. He writes that with increasing costs of gasoline more people will forgo mortgages and ordinary rentals, seek out group housing, room sharing, and other cash economy methods of dealing with increased living expenses (he also writes that the US public and private infrastructure is designed for $2-$3 gas, not $6-$7 gas).The view he presents is very much in contrast to Al Gore's and Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez's plan for renewables in one decade. Interestingly, Orlov has more in common with Vaclav Smil in this matter. Prof. Smil, a world expert in energy resources and a recommended author on "Gates Notes", documents and predicts that energy transitions take about forty (40) years, sometimes longer. Therefore, if private industry is left to arrange for the transition from oil and gas to renewables or nuclear energy, we can expect a gap period in which new sources are still being developed and constructed and a shortfall is already underway. The role of government (whose effectiveness Orlov is skeptical about, having learned about his relatives and friends' experiences during and after the collapse of the USSR) is therefore crucial, for only it can both enact laws that plan for fifty (50) year time spans and join a stream of income to those theoretical plans for a new energy and agricultural system.Today, the US could approach 50 year planning by linking more of the 30 year Treasury Bonds with specific public infrastructure projects. Instead of selling T Bills for the general fund, or year to year budgets and the ongoing budget deficit, we should get back to the roots of finance and start using bonds for the original purpose, and advertise certain bonds as: Amtrak modernization, Nuclear Power R&D and new plants, Bureau of Land Management improvement and expansion.If there is some additional risk for a T Bill or government bond (like the War Bonds of WWI and WWII) to be linked to a specific project then we'll need to start paying higher interest rates. Let's just be glad, however, that we are still the most credit-worthy superpower. Asking citizens to pay another percentage so to gain the support of wealthy people and corporation here and abroad is not asking much at all.
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